Toaw Scenario: Pakistan 2001

Pakistan & India,
December 25, 2001,

India army of 126 units opposed to Pakistan army of 144 units
for a battle of complexity 0.98 at Brigade(X) level
on a 50 Km/Hex map
for 28 turns of Full Day each.

by Al Sandrik submited on 19-11-2002

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Briefing
Operation "Lotus Blossom" or "My Gods can lick your God!" Date: Morning, 25 December 2001 Place: Pakistan, Western India Scale: Day turns, 50 Km/Hex Length: Up to 28 turns (4 weeks) Units: Division and Brigade Side One: India Side Two: Pakistan Note: Version 1.2 corrects some Formation profeciency problems which made the Pakistani's too strong and is brought up to date with current events. Additionally, all of India's forces are now Veteran's, and won't be as fragile. Author: Al Sandrik E-mail: Asandrik@bellsouth.net A factor which is getting little press in American media was the role of Major General Hameed Gul (Ret.) the former head of the Pakistani Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) agency in the tragic events of 11 Sept. The rabidly anti-American Gen. Gul, without Gen. Musharrif's knowledge, apparently spent two weeks in Kabul consulting with the Taliban entity, which he created, and bin Laden. Mysteriously he reappeared at his home on 11 Sept, ready to espouse his anti-American rhetoric to every reporter who called him. Some circles believe Gul is pulling the strings behind the scenes both with bin Laden and the Taliban and aspires to use nuclear weapons on the West and Israel. On 1 October 2001 the Indian ruled Kashmiri state legislature was attacked by ISI supported Islamic militants based in Pakistani controlled Kashmir. At least 31 persons were killed with over 75 injured in a seven hour running battle initiated with a car bomb explosion. The president of the Kashmiri senate, in a tear filled speech, called for war against Pakistan. In December, Islamic Militants based in Pakistan and trained by the ISI attack the Indian Parliment building Killing 14 (including the attackers). Inda decides to act massing forces along the Line of Control and Pakistani Border. Events: 1. Cease fire: Starting with turn 15 (the 2nd week of the war) there is a gradually increasing possibility of a Cease Fire Agreement. You will have only one turn to complete operations. 2. If Pakistan uses Chemical Weapons (if you are the Pakistani OIC this decision is out of your hands, Gul makes it), India will respond in kind. 3. For every Pakistan city occupied there is a possibility that two Pakistani nuclear devices will be released for use. 4. If Pakistan uses a nuclear device there is a good chance that India will respond in kind (5 devices will be released. 5. If Islamabad is occupied, Pakistan may surrender. 6. If Karachi is not garrisioned by Pakistani forces the ethnic Mohajir's in that city may revot. If India takes any hex of Karachi the Mohajirs will join Indian forces. 7. If a Pakistani city occupied by India is left ungarrisoned the population may revolt. 8. Islamic guerrilias will raise havoc behind Indian lines. Garrision the railroad routes. References: 1. "Future Wars", Col. Trevor N. Dupuy, U.S. Army (Ret.), Warner Books, 1992. 2. Command Magazine Issue 51: "The Next Indo-Pakistan War", Ty Bomba. 3. Command Magazine Wargame: "The fire Next Time". Issue 51. 4. Strategy and Tactics, "Indo-Pakistani Wars", Issue 174, May/June 1995. 5. Strategy and Tactics Wargame, "Indo-Pakistani Wars", Issue 174, May/June 1995. 6. Game Designer's Workshop (GDW) Wargame, Persian Gulf. 1986. 7. Battle Tanks and Support Vehicles, Alan K. Russel, Greenhill Military Manuals, 1994. 8. Various articles from Janes Information Group. 9. "Critical Mass, The Dangerous Race for Superweapons in a Fragmenting World", William E. Burrows and Robert Windrem, Simon and Schuster, 1994.

Briefing

Operation "Lotus Blossom"

or

"My Gods can lick your God!"

Date: Morning, 25 December 2001
Place: Pakistan, Western India
Scale: Day turns, 50 Km/Hex
Length: Up to 28 turns (4 weeks)
Units: Division and Brigade
Side One: India
Side Two: Pakistan

Note: Version 1.2 corrects some Formation profeciency problems which made the Pakistani's too strong and is brought up to date with current events. Additionally, all of India's forces are now Veteran's, and won't be as fragile.

Author: Al Sandrik
E-mail: Asandrik@bellsouth.net

A factor which is getting little press in American media was the role of Major General Hameed Gul (Ret.) the former head of the Pakistani Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) agency in the tragic events of 11 Sept. The rabidly anti-American Gen. Gul, without Gen. Musharrif's knowledge, apparently spent two weeks in Kabul consulting with the Taliban entity, which he created, and bin Laden. Mysteriously he reappeared at his home on 11 Sept, ready to espouse his anti-American rhetoric to every reporter who called him. Some circles believe Gul is pulling the strings behind the scenes both with bin Laden and the Taliban and aspires to use nuclear weapons on the West and Israel.

On 1 October 2001 the Indian ruled Kashmiri state legislature was attacked by ISI supported Islamic militants based in Pakistani controlled Kashmir. At least 31 persons were killed with over 75 injured in a seven hour running battle initiated with a car bomb explosion. The president of the Kashmiri senate, in a tear filled speech, called for war against Pakistan.

In December, Islamic Militants based in Pakistan and trained by the ISI attack the Indian Parliment building Killing 14 (including the attackers). Inda decides to act massing forces along the Line of Control and Pakistani Border.

Events:

1. Cease fire: Starting with turn 15 (the 2nd week of the war) there is a gradually increasing possibility of a Cease Fire Agreement. You will have only one turn to complete operations.

2. If Pakistan uses Chemical Weapons (if you are the Pakistani OIC this decision is out of your hands, Gul makes it), India will respond in kind.

3. For every Pakistan city occupied there is a possibility that two Pakistani nuclear devices will be released for use.

4. If Pakistan uses a nuclear device there is a good chance that India will respond in kind (5 devices will be released.

5. If Islamabad is occupied, Pakistan may surrender.

6. If Karachi is not garrisioned by Pakistani forces the ethnic Mohajir's in that city may revot. If India takes any hex of Karachi the Mohajirs will join Indian forces.

7. If a Pakistani city occupied by India is left ungarrisoned the population may revolt.

8. Islamic guerrilias will raise havoc behind Indian lines. Garrision the railroad routes.

References:

1. "Future Wars", Col. Trevor N. Dupuy, U.S. Army (Ret.), Warner Books, 1992.

2. Command Magazine Issue 51: "The Next Indo-Pakistan War", Ty Bomba.

3. Command Magazine Wargame: "The fire Next Time". Issue 51.

4. Strategy and Tactics, "Indo-Pakistani Wars", Issue 174, May/June 1995.

5. Strategy and Tactics Wargame, "Indo-Pakistani Wars", Issue 174, May/June 1995.

6. Game Designer's Workshop (GDW) Wargame, Persian Gulf. 1986.

7. Battle Tanks and Support Vehicles, Alan K. Russel, Greenhill Military Manuals, 1994.

8. Various articles from Janes Information Group.

9. "Critical Mass, The Dangerous Race for Superweapons in a Fragmenting World", William E. Burrows and Robert Windrem, Simon and Schuster, 1994.