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Europe, June 07, 1979, Warsaw Pact army of 747 units opposed to Nato army of 840 units for a battle of complexity 1.93 at Division(XX) level on a 15 Km/Hex map for 36 turns of Half Week each. by Maurizio Andreoli submited on 13-01-2007 Rugged-Defense Playing Statistics
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| Briefing |
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RED HURRICANENato vs Warsaw Pact - a ww3 historyVersion 1.5 Best played PBEM 1. Unit colors 1.1. WARSAW PACT
1.2. NATO
2. Background We are in March 1979 and the Government of the Sovietic Union start to perceive the first signs of the future collapse of the communist system. The frequent malfunctions of the internal system energetic are putting to hard test the ability of production in some key sectors of the planned economy; in certain cases productive autonomy doesn't overcome the six months and after is preventivabile a complete paralysis. The strategic reserves for military purposes could result compromised within 9 months. To avoid an inglorious end of the Sovietic Empire one of the possibilities at disposition of the Soviets is a military attack to Western Europe, with the purpose to disarticulate the Nato and to detach Germany, Italy and Greece from the western block. Such movement would guarantee liberty of movement in the chessboards of middle-east area to assure oil provisioning. In a meeting lasted 12 hours the Supreme Soviet (the organ of government of the Sovietic Union) decides to choose the military option before the Nato succeeds to let enter in line the new modern equipments. Such option foresees the attack besides to neutral countries Denmark,Yugoslavia and Austria; it comes besides definite of not to use weapons NBC. The attack is planned for the first week of June and in these three months 'disinformatia' and 'maskirovka' must have effected to the maximum levels to avoid that the Nato is put in alarm too soon. The nightmare is about to begin. . . . 2.1. From C.I.A.-Service Military Analysis To SACEUR - Bruxelles 08/04/1979 The communication from the Sovietic authorities to suspend the dismissals of the soldiers of lever for 2 months, in sight of the spring manoeuvres of May, could be the confirmation that the actual military activity of the Pact of Varsavia is from to intend as absolutely anomalous. Such activity opposes besides with the recent taking of position of the Soviet diplomacy, that has declared favorable to one revision of essays on the proliferation of nuclear weapons. Nevertheless we don't have enough elements to underline imminent dangers yet. 2.2. From C.I.A.-Service Military Analysis To SACEUR - Bruxelles 28/04/1979 The Sovietic military situation is in full evolution. There are news around the substitution of commanders than at least 8 divisions of first level; besides in at least 40% some districts are in action calls of reservists for unity of third and fourth level while in at least 50% some districts result being fully operational unities of second level (while in the norm such unities are usually at 30 pct of the strengths). Besides the Pact has hardly cofirmed that the manoeuvres already announced in spring will involve all the nations belong to such organization and will have developed simultaneously in Germany East, Poland, and Czechoslovakia.We think the situation worthy of the maximum attention despite the favorable Sovietic diplomatic movements continue to one reduction generalized of the cruise missiles. 2.3. From COMSUBATLANT - Service Intentions To CINCATLANT 29/04/1979 In relief scarce activities of patrol from the Soviet submarine. From photo satellitaris are noticed basins of anchorage in full activity of maintenance to the submergible fleets. 2.4. From DIA - Service Analysis Elint To SACEUR-Bruxelles 15/05/1979 Activity divisions Soviet second, third and fourth level absolutely out of the ordinary one. We have notices of transefrring divisions of first and second team through railroads in direction West, Germany East, Czechoslovakia and Hungary. 2.5. From CINCATLANT To SACEUR-Bruxelles 20/05/1979 In relief increasing activity from the submergible fleets of the Baltic and of the Atlantic, with line up inusuale. Please return as soon as possible confirm services information about possible connection with spring manoeuvres programmed for June. To such intention additional informative satellitare is required. 2.6. Reuters - London 21-05-1979 Demonstrations of pacifists have developed in a lot of capital city of Europe subsequently to the declarations of the President of the U.S.A. Such declarations left to intend that, despite the proposals of reduction of the armaments advanced by the Soviet in the last weeks, the activities set in to be from the Warsaw Pact in sight of the usual manoeuvres in spring are from to consider absolutely not conventional in comparison to the normal activities of exercise. 2.7. From CIA-Service Information To SACEUR-Bruxelles 25/05/1979 Civilian flights inside Pact reduced at 50 pct and mechanical component factories in activities on three turns confirm possible call pilots reservists and extraordinary provisioning of pieces of spare pieces. Besides restrictions of movement are signalled for persons and commodities in entrance or gone out of the countries of the Pact, without any communication or it confirms official. 2.8. From General Secretary of the Nato - Bruxelles To Secretary of State U.S.A. - Washington 25/05/1979 In sight of the manoeuvres of the Pact of Varsavia and the strong deployment effected by them the organic of disposition of the Atlantic alliance have been put in state of alarm DEFCON-3. 2.9. Reuters - Washington D.C. 25-05-1979 The Minister of the Defense has confirmed indiscretions concerning a possible strengths Nato alarm in Europe. 2.10. From CINCATLANT To SACEUR-Bruxelles 27/05/1979 Redeployment of Soviet submarines seems to have completed, but in last 24h we miss reliable data in how much such unities seem to do the possible for to hide own position in more accurate manner of the usual one. 2.11. Reuters - Washington D.C. 27-05-1979 A spokesman of the Presidency has confirmed that have been recalled different reservists' shares; such fit they are from to consider entirely as deterrent and they don't owe to be interpreted absolutely as hostile action. Confirmation from the administration the wish in to always look for and however the negotiation as principal street for the solution of controversies. 2.12. Reuters - London 28-05-1979 Sources of the British Government don't confirm the call of reservists of Army, Aviation and Navy. The Governments Of France and Germany West wish solutions negotiate them to what seem inexplicable situations. The demonstrations of pacifists continue today also in numerous European capitals. 2.13. Reuters - Bonn 29-05-1979 Serious attack in the embassy of the Sovietic Union. Witness have reported of a strong explosion and of the following collapse of the building that entertains the embassy of the Sovietic Union. The zone has been isolated and to the moment there are no news around her risen of the persons that were at that time inside the stable. German government sources seem to confirm the presence of the Sovietic Ambassador to the moment of the explosion inside the embassy. 2.14. Reuters - Bonn 30-05-1979 First official balance of the explosion in the Sovietic embassy. Are confirmed to the moment 38 corpses (understood the ambassador and his family) and around 20 wounded some in very serious manner. The Sovietic State Department blames the German Federal Government of scarce vigilance and of constant support to hostile groups to the communism. It confirms besides that investigations have already departed from the Security Services of the Pact. 2.15. Reuters - Bonn 30-05-1979 The German Federal Government defines unacceptable the Soviet accusations and it confirms the appointment of the detective apparatuses so that the responsible of such fit criminal is brought to the justice. 2.16. Tass - Moscow 30-05-1979 Official confirmation of the arrest in Warsaw of a teacher that seems to have strong bonds with the secret services of Germany West. The evening edition of the Pravda brings a declaration of the Minister of Defence that confirmation the involvement of the German secret services is practically ascertained and it requires immediate actions so that the responsible of such barbaric attack is delivered to the Sovietic authorities. 2.17. Reuters - Bonn 31/05/1979 The German Chancellor denies any involvement of the security services of his country and underlines that cannot be born ulterior accusations deprived of any base. 2.18. Reuters - Bruxelles 31/05/1979 The Nato Secretary's spokesman doesn't confirm the voices of an increase of the state of alarm of the Nato to DEFCON-2. 2.19. Norfolk - Virginia ACLANT HQ 31/05/1979 ##### DEFCON 2 Norms for the fight. Option 'BRAVO' now operational. The Hostilities between Nato and Warsaw Pact should be remarked as probable but non certain. Hostilities could have beginning without, repeat, without warning ##### 2.20. Langley - CIA HQ - 01/06/1979 +++++Top Secret+++++ Outline teacher halted in Poland it seems to correspond to identity built in Germany West. Checks confirm not reliability German nationality. It could treat of 'sleeping spy'. ++++++++++++++++++++ 2.21. From SACEUR - Bruxelles - 03/06/1979 ##### FIRELIGHT CODE ##### DEFCON 1-Intense Activity Warsaw Pact Registered. Probable Hostilities To Brief Term I Repeat To Brief Term. 3. Theater options Three options for both opponents, each one costs 3 supply points regained after 3 turns; they will be available only 1 time. WP will have them from turn n.7 and Nato from turn n. 10.
4. House rules WP player can not use naval movements at west of Denmark and outside of Adriatic Sea. 5. Player's Notes Either the WP that the Nato introduce territorial unity, of police soldier and unity SAM to identify the inside defense. The unities of the Pact have diversified to level of equipments and preparation therefore a Rumanian unity or a Soviet unity of third category it differs a lot in comparison to a Soviet unity of first category. The suggestion is that to give a glance to the armaments of the varied nationalities keeping in mind that in line of principle the color also countersigns the level of preparation. Same thing for the unities Nato, keeping in mind that Italy, Greece and Yugoslavia they normally have inferior ability to the average. Italy, Greece and Austria participate in full title to the NATO's defense, and it has not foreseen the surrender in case of occupation of city important of these countries. Berlin is considered captured to the burst of the hostilities. You always check the news that appear because they can be information precious. 6. Significant events The delay from the NATO's troops to get ready to the war and the activity of sabotage inside the western countries are represented by shock penalties in the first turns. The values return normal after some turn. The destruction of the industrial plants (representing by coastal art.units) in Amsterdam, TheHague, Antwerp, Brugges, Calais, Toulon, Genova, LaSpezia, Marseilles decrease Nato's supply capacity. The destruction of the industrial plants (representing by coastal art. units)in Ploesti, Warsaw, Berlin, Kiev, Odessa decrease WP's supply capacity. Supply points in Ruhr, Frankfurt, Stuttgart, Munich, Hamburg, Mailand, Salonika will disappear if attacked. The movements of troops will be hindered by masses of fugitive in the moment in which Frankfurt, Bremen, Hannover, Hamburg, Munich and Ruhr will be attacked. The capture of Belgrado and Sarajevo will provoke the surrender of the yugoslave unities and a light increase of the supply capacity for the WP. The capture of Copenhagen will provoke the surrender of the Danish unities and a light increase of the supply capacity for the WP. 6.1. Management replaces WP
6.2. Management resupply WP
6.3. Management replaces NATO
6.4. Battle of Atlantic - Management resupply NATO
6.5. Cities captured by Nato If the following cities will be captured by Nato troops, replacement pool of Warsaw Pact will be reduced by 1% each one.
6.6. Cities captured by WP If the following cities will be captured by WP troops, replacement pool of Nato will be reduced by 1% each one.
WP gains 100 VP for each of the following cities occupied:
With Amsterdam occupied WP increases supplies for 10 points and Nato lowered supplies for 10 points. 6.7. Supply Points
6.8. Bad news Nato - penalization shock If the situation of war is worsening for Nato side, there is change that Nato morale collapse and a 'shock army' event is activated. The chained causes of events that could activate this event are:
If 8 of these events occurs Nato troops will suffer a 85% shock penalization, recovered after 3 turns. Also there is 50% probabilities that Austrian army will surrender. |