2006 - Israel's Next War

After years if constant and escalating violence in Israel an Palestine, the demographics played in the hands of Israel's extremist and religious extremists. Israel's committed more and more to the "war against terror" and received vast aid from the USA. US congress voted for more transfer of weapons to the IDF. Notably was to enable to equip some squadrons with A-10 attack planes, F117 bombers, and AC-130 ground support aircraft for counter-terrorist organization (paid by US taxpayers money), some additional AH-64 and S-70 gunship as well as numerous additional M163 mobile air-defense systems and Stinger SAM missiles.

After a coalition from the far-right and religious extremist parties got elected to Israeli's government. More and more security and economic sanctions started to be imposed on the Palestinian occupied territories, amidst ever increasing violence. Thousands of Palestinians are killed every year. Israeli organizations such as the Kach or the Kahane Chai were accepted and started to run independent violent actions against Palestinian towns and villages. Soon these attacks were coordinated with sympathizing Tsahal units. Israeli government tacitly encouraged these.

In September 2006, during the Yom Kippur celebrations, a group of Palestinian terrorists managed to sneak through into Israel and simultaneously blew off buildings, exploded bombs in public spaces, and killed over 300 Israeli civilians. Israeli's cabinet proclaimed that this action would be avenged, and Palestine "cleansed once and for ever of the cancer of terrorism". State of emergency is proclaimed

On October 5th, partial mobilization of Israeli's IDF is ordered, and more troops start to surround Palestinian territory - Journalists and foreigners were summoned to stay home, leave Israel or join their embassies. On October 7th, state of war and martial law are proclaimed, and troops start to attack Palestinian towns.

The Israeli player has a difficult challenge. "Clean-up" the Palestinian towns has to be done carefully as guerilla warfare can cause serious losses on its forces. The faster it does it, the less forces it will face, but the faster it will trigger the ability to strike into Lebanon and Syria, but also the reaction of Arab nations and, possibly, the intervention of the UN.

The first 10 turns will be able to play only one turn every two, to simulate the special pace of operations in counter Guerilla warfare.

The "elimination" of Israeli peace protesters is a simulation of their internment, not actual elimination.

If UN intervenes, Arab League forces can only enter in Gaza, Golan and the West Bank or any Arab country Lebanon, Egypt, Jordan, Syria, etc.. If elsewhere (i.e. in Israel), they must retreat to the nearest such hex.

Israel forces cannot paradrop or land in Cyprus and off-map bases and hex, but it may strike those with air, missiles or nuclear attacks

If and when Israel will be at war with the Arab League, Israel has a chance to deploy its nuclear arsenal
If and When United Nations enter the conflict, the chances to use nuclear weapons will decrease or stop completely.
If Israel goes nuclear, the destruction of Isreali major Headquarters and Command and Control units will decrease its ability to deliver strikes.
Houserule: If Israel goes nuclear, only the following units can do nuclear attacks :

If all such units are destroyed, no more attacks can be made.

If Israel is cornered and facing defeat, there is a probability that it can trigger the theater option "Samson Option" which allows any unit to deliver strikes anywhere, including on its own soil. This option will certainly spell defeat for Israel in terms of victory points, but it will also cause considerable damage on attacking forces.

It would be easy to say that this scenario is only game, and has no political actions, etc. etc. blah, blah, blah.

Players that are pro-Israel will enjoy slaughtering Palestinians and see if Tsahal can defeat first an Arab attack and even an international intervention. Some may accuse me of being anti-Israel for even thinking of such a scenario, blah, blah, blah.

Players that are pro-Palestine, pro-Arab, anti-Israel, and even anti-Semitic, will try to defeat Israel etc.
99% of players, will like to just play it out to see what could happen.

I believe that solving the problem in Israel and Palestine is the fundamental basis without which, no peace, no democratization and no ending to Islamic terrorism can happen.
Israel is loosing its war and its support from the world. If it fails to make peace fast it will face growing threats, political and military from others and risk being cornered more and more into extremist position. With all sides becoming more and more extremist and with cooler heads not prevailing, "final solutions" might be envisioned.
I believe that if no sustainable peace is made in the region in the next 10 years, Israel will be considered an Evil nation by the majority of the people of the world and Muslim nations will eventually grow to a power level where the next war will simply mean the destruction of Israel, with it most probably considering the usage of its 300 (and growing) nuclear weapons on its enemies. This new holocaust could plunge the world in chaos and instability, not mentioning the millions and millions of dead. I could never think of this even 3 years ago - now many think like that.

I hope this scenario never happens.

I fear, however that it will.