Briefing
OPERATION MOHAMED 2006 Hypothetical scenario about Turkish attack on Bulgaria in 2006 Best played as Turkey against Bulgaria 1. UNIT COLOUR 1.1. Bulgarian units Green-red - All bulgarian units Blue - Greek airplanes Red-Yellow - Russian planes and ships 1.2. Turkish units Red-White - All Turkish units 2. BACKGROUND 2.1. 1984-1989 Forced Bulgarisation of the Turkish minority in Bulgaria started in summer 1984. By then there were 700.000 - 1.000.000 Turks. There were clashes between Bulgarians (troops, villagers) and members of the Turkish minority. On 10 May 1989 travel restrictions to foreign countries were partly lifted. End of May grave disturbances in regions inhabited by members of the Turkish minority. Todor Zhivkov held a speech on 29 May 1989, in which he demanded of Turkey to open its borders in order to receive all 'Bulgarian Muslims', who wanted to live there. Thereupon followed an exodus till August 1989 of over 300.000 Bulgaro-Turks to Turkey. On 10 November 1989 Zhivkov was replaced by Peter Mladenow and by the end of that year communism fell and democracy was established. 2.2. 2005-2006 Muslim brothers (hard-core Islamic party) won elections for Turkish parlament. Islamists created government and adopted new constitution that established Islamic Republic of Turkey. Turkey left NATO and all other European and Atlantic integrations. American soldiers and equipment were retreated from Turkey to Greece. Turkey gave full support to all Islamic terrorist organizations throughout the world. USA finds themselves in hard situation in Iraq and Afghanistan. Turks wanted restoring of Ottoman Empire in its full power. First step was annexation of Turkish part of Cyprus. Greece only protested. Bulgarian Turks who lives in few eastern Bulgarian districts (Khaskovo,Burgas,Varna and Ruse) demanded succession from Bulgaria, country applicant for NATO and EU. Bulgarian government rejected. Turkey gave full support to Bulgarian Turks and demanded from Bulgaria these four districts. Bulgaria rejected again. Turkey sent weapons and volunteers to Bulgaria. In January 2006 Bulgarian Turks started rebellion against Bulgaria. Bulgaria sent its armed forces to fight against rebels and after few months in April 2006 Bulgarians successfully repelled Turks to the Turkish border. Turkey described this as ethnic cleansing and decided to protect Bulgarian Turks. Nationalism grew in both countries and war seems to be inevitable. Both countries mobilized themselves and started preparations for war. Few minutes after midnight on 1st May 2006 Turks made attack on Bulgarian armed forces along border. Operation "Mohamed" has started... 3. Events 65% chances that Turkey will use chemical weapons in TURN 16 If Turks uses chemicals there is 80% chances that Greece will send Mirages and F-16s to Bulgaria in TURN 22 If Burgas is captured Turkish army Headquarters will order attack from sea on Varna with Turkish marines (they then become available in Istanbul) When Burgas is captured there is 50% chances that Russia will send its Black Sea Fleet to oppose Turkish attack from sea on Varna If Turks captures Varna Turkish army Headquarters will order air attacks and desant with parachuters on Ruse (parachuters then become available on Instanbul airport) When Varna is captured there is 75% chances that Russia will send 60 SU-30s jetfighters to oppose Turkish desant on Ruse 4. THEATER OPTIONS Theater Options are available only for Turks: If your armies are doing miserable then in TURN 30 you'll get your chance to start PLAN "HA" and if this don't succeed in TURN 35 you'll get another chance to start PLAN "MED". 5. STRATEGY 5.1. For Turkish player peration "MOHAMED" has three phases 1.First phase is PLAN "MO". This is the hardest part of Operation "MOHAMED". Your army must breach front on Turko-Bulgarian border. Khaskovo and Burgas are main objectives in this phase. When your forces capture Burgas second phase of operation "MOHAMED" is starting 2.Second phase is starting after fall of Burgas this is PLAN "HA". This phase of war includes attack from sea with marine infantry on Varna city. For success of PLAN "HA" it is necessary to completely destroy Bulgarian or eventually Russian ships in Black Sea. 3.When Varna is captured third and final phase of Operation "MOHAMED" is starting that is PLAN "MED". This phase of war includes air desant with parachuters on lightly defended Ruse district. For success of this phase of war it is necessary that you have sky over Bulgaria under your control. 5.2. For Bulgarian player Carefully read Turkish strategy. You must hold as long as you can front on the border. When Turks breach front you should concentrate your forces in Khaskovo and Burgas cities and defend them as long as you can. If these two cities falls there are small chances that you'll won the war. Russian and Greek help is very important especially Russian Black Sea Fleet. I think Bulgarian player can't win without military help. Zarko Damjanovic

Briefing

OPERATION MOHAMED 2006

Hypothetical scenario about Turkish attack on Bulgaria in 2006

Best played as Turkey against Bulgaria

1. UNIT COLOUR

1.1. Bulgarian units

Green-red - All bulgarian units
Blue - Greek airplanes
Red-Yellow - Russian planes and ships

1.2. Turkish units

Red-White - All Turkish units

2. BACKGROUND

2.1. 1984-1989

Forced Bulgarisation of the Turkish minority in Bulgaria started in summer 1984. By then there were 700.000 - 1.000.000 Turks. There were clashes between Bulgarians (troops, villagers) and members of the Turkish minority. On 10 May 1989 travel restrictions to foreign countries were partly lifted. End of May grave disturbances in regions inhabited by members of the Turkish minority. Todor Zhivkov held a speech on 29 May 1989, in which he demanded of Turkey to open its borders in order to receive all 'Bulgarian Muslims', who wanted to live there. Thereupon followed an exodus till August 1989 of over 300.000 Bulgaro-Turks to Turkey. On 10 November 1989 Zhivkov was replaced by Peter Mladenow and by the end of that year communism fell and democracy was established.

2.2. 2005-2006

Muslim brothers (hard-core Islamic party) won elections for Turkish parlament. Islamists created government and adopted new constitution that established Islamic Republic of Turkey. Turkey left NATO and all other European and Atlantic integrations. American soldiers and equipment were retreated from Turkey to Greece. Turkey gave full support to all Islamic terrorist organizations throughout the world. USA finds themselves in hard situation in Iraq and Afghanistan. Turks wanted restoring of Ottoman Empire in its full power. First step was annexation of Turkish part of Cyprus. Greece only protested. Bulgarian Turks who lives in few eastern Bulgarian districts (Khaskovo,Burgas,Varna and Ruse) demanded succession from Bulgaria, country applicant for NATO and EU. Bulgarian government rejected. Turkey gave full support to Bulgarian Turks and demanded from Bulgaria these four districts. Bulgaria rejected again. Turkey sent weapons and volunteers to Bulgaria. In January 2006 Bulgarian Turks started rebellion against Bulgaria. Bulgaria sent its armed forces to fight against rebels and after few months in April 2006 Bulgarians successfully repelled Turks to the Turkish border. Turkey described this as ethnic cleansing and decided to protect Bulgarian Turks. Nationalism grew in both countries and war seems to be inevitable. Both countries mobilized themselves and started preparations for war. Few minutes after midnight on 1st May 2006 Turks made attack on Bulgarian armed forces along border. Operation "Mohamed" has started...

3. Events

65% chances that Turkey will use chemical weapons in TURN 16
If Turks uses chemicals there is 80% chances that Greece will send Mirages and F-16s to Bulgaria in TURN 22
If Burgas is captured Turkish army Headquarters will order attack from sea on Varna with Turkish marines (they then become available in Istanbul)
When Burgas is captured there is 50% chances that Russia will send its Black Sea Fleet to oppose Turkish attack from sea on Varna
If Turks captures Varna Turkish army Headquarters will order air attacks and desant with parachuters on Ruse (parachuters then become available on Instanbul airport)
When Varna is captured there is 75% chances that Russia will send 60 SU-30s jetfighters to oppose Turkish desant on Ruse

4. THEATER OPTIONS

Theater Options are available only for Turks:

If your armies are doing miserable then in TURN 30 you'll get your chance to start PLAN "HA" and if this don't succeed in TURN 35 you'll get another chance to start PLAN "MED".

5. STRATEGY

5.1. For Turkish player

peration "MOHAMED" has three phases

1.First phase is PLAN "MO". This is the hardest part of Operation "MOHAMED". Your army must breach front on Turko-Bulgarian border. Khaskovo and Burgas are main objectives in this phase. When your forces capture Burgas second phase of operation "MOHAMED" is starting
2.Second phase is starting after fall of Burgas this is PLAN "HA". This phase of war includes attack from sea with marine infantry on Varna city. For success of PLAN "HA" it is necessary to completely destroy Bulgarian or eventually Russian ships in Black Sea.
3.When Varna is captured third and final phase of Operation "MOHAMED" is starting that is PLAN "MED". This phase of war includes air desant with parachuters on lightly defended Ruse district. For success of this phase of war it is necessary that you have sky over Bulgaria under your control.

5.2. For Bulgarian player

Carefully read Turkish strategy. You must hold as long as you can front on the border. When Turks breach front you should concentrate your forces in Khaskovo and Burgas cities and defend them as long as you can. If these two cities falls there are small chances that you'll won the war. Russian and Greek help is very important especially Russian Black Sea Fleet. I think Bulgarian player can't win without military help.

Zarko Damjanovic